The Falmouth Anchor Predictions for the 2018 Academy Awards

By Liam Hall and Amber Jackson

With the 90th Academy Awards taking place tonight here are the Anchor’s predictions of who will probably win tonight, as well as who perhaps should win.

Award: Best Actress in a Leading Role

Nominees:

  • Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  • Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  • Meryl Streep, The Post

Prediction:

Frances McDormand

Should win: Frances McDormand.

Each performance from every nominee was breathtakingly honest and powerful. Having already received a Golden Globe and a BAFTA for her role in Three Billboards, it’s likely that Frances McDormand will win the Oscar too. However, The Shape of Water is nominated for a hell of a lot of categories, so competition will be tough this year!

Fun fact: The Post is Meryl Streep’s 21st Oscar nomination, breaking her own record as the most Oscar-nominated actor in history. Queen Streep may win the entire Oscars just for that accomplishment alone!

Award: Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Nominees:

  • Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
  • Allison Janney, I, Tonya
  • Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
  • Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
  • Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Prediction: Mary J. Blige

Should win: Allison Janney purely because nobody else could have pulled that role off! She was the perfect amount of fury and bitterness – plus it would be incredible to see her win her first Oscar.

Fun fact: Octavia Spencer is another actor who makes history this year, being the first African-American actress to receive multiple nominations after a win. After winning best supporting actress for The Help in 2012, she was nominated for Hidden Figures in 2017 – it would be great to see her win for The Shape of Water!

Award: Best Actor in a leading role

Nominees:

– Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

-Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

-Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

-Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

-Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel Esq.

Prediction: Gary Oldman

Should win: Gary Oldman.

Oldman arguably should’ve won a couple of years ago for his excellent performance in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy or even for his portrayal of Dracula in the 1992 film of the same name. His win has been long overdue as one of the finest actors ever to appear on screen and his turn as Churchill is another great performance to add to his filmography. He is up against strong performances by Timothee Chalamet and Academy favourite Daniel Day-Lewis among the other nominees but now, if ever, has to be Oldman’s time for sure.

Fun fact: Timothee Chalamet is the youngest best actor nominee since 1939.

Award: Best Actor in a supporting role

Nominees:

-Willem Defoe, The Florida Project

-Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

– Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

-Christopher Plummer, All The Money In The World

-Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Prediction: Sam Rockwell.

Should win: Richard Jenkins.

It is a tight call between the excellent performances of Sam Rockwell and Richard Jenkins but we’ve gone with Jenkins for his moving and heartfelt performance in The Shape of Water. He is one of the most outstanding parts in a film filled with so much talent on and off screen. Rockwell will without doubt win the award, and he is absolutely deserves it, but Jenkins is also a strong contender and perhaps one that could cause an upset.

Fun fact: Christopher Plummer filmed all of his scenes in 9 days after being brought in for reshoots to fill the role previously played by Kevin Spacey, who was replaced after the numerous sexual assault allegations made against him.

Award: Best Animated Feature Film

Nominees:

-The Breadwinner

-Coco

-Ferdinand

-Loving Vincent

-The Boss Baby

Prediction: Loving Vincent.

Should win: Loving Vincent.

A really poor selection of animated films for the award this year with neither Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie or Mary and The Witch’s Flower being nominated. Loving Vincent, a beautiful British/Polish co-production that is the world’s first fully oil painted animated film, is by no means perfect but is far better than The Boss Baby. It should be noted we have not been able to see the Breadwinner yet as it likely had a limited release or is set for a further UK release later this year. Because of this fact we have no opinion on it.

Fun Fact: Loving Vincent has been in planned production for over nine years. 65,00 oil paintings were used in the film created by a team of 125 painters. If painted all by one person, the paintings would’ve taken over 80 years to be completed.

Award: Best Cinematography.

Nominees:

-Roger A. Deakins, Blade Runner 2049.

-Bruno Delbonnel, Darkest Hour

-Hoyte Van Hoytema, Dunkirk

-Rachel Morrison, Mudbound

-Dan Lausten, The Shape of Water

Prediction: Roger A. Deakins.

Should win: It has to be Roger Deakins. After 14 nominations Deakins is still waiting for his first win, a surprising statistic for one of the most talented cinematographers of all time. He is against up against strong competition in the form of Hoyte Van Hoytema and the first ever female cinematography nomination Rachel Morrison; but after his breathtaking work on Blade Runner 2049, his win is hard to argue against.

Fun Fact: Rachel Morrison is the first ever female cinematographer nominated for the award in the academy’s 88 years. A damming statistic but hopefully an optimistic sign of change for the future.

Award: Best Director

Nominees:

-Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

-Jordan Peele, Get Out

-Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

-Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread

-Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water

Prediction: Guillermo Del Toro

Should win: All would be fine winners of the award and it’s tough to say who deserves to win the most. Jordan Peele’s Get Out was a brilliant Commentary on unconscious racism in White liberals and is a fine directorial debut as is Greta Gerwig’s emotional Lady Bird. It is a shame Edgar Wright was not nominated for Baby Driver but it is a testament to how strong this years nominees have been. Guillermo Del Toro is our pick to win and in doing so will complete the trinity wins of wins for so called ‘The Three Amigos’ after directors’ Alfonso Cuaron’s and Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu’s wins in 2014 and 2015/2016 respectively.

Fun fact: Out of all of the nominees only Paul Thomas Anderson has been nominated for the best director award before.

Award: Best Original Song

Nominees:

-Mighty River by Mary J. Blige, Raphael Saadiq and Taura Stinson, Mudbound

-Mystery Of Love by Sufjan Stevens, Call Me by Your Name

-Remember Me by Kristen Anderson Lopez and Robert Lopez, Coco

-Stand Up for Something by Diane Warren, Lonnir R. Lynn and Diane Warren, Marshall

-This is Me by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, The Greatest Showman

Prediction: Remember me by Kristen Anderson Lopez and Robert Lopez

Should win: Remember me is a sweet song that is most likely going to win and add to the many great songs Disney has had over the last couple of years. However, we have chosen Mystery Of Love by Sufjan Stevens as our pick for his beautiful song from Call Me by Your Name that fits the tone of the film perfectly.

Fun fact: Sufjan Stevens was initially approached by Call Me by Your Name director Luca Guadagino to narrate the film rather than creating a song for the film. It was only after Stevens declined this offer that he agreed to write an origial song for the film instad.

Award: Best Picture

Nominees:

Call Me by Your Name

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

Get Out

Lady Bird

Phantom Thread

The Post

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Prediction: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Should win: Call Me by Your Name. This has been one of the toughest award to pick and we were very close to giving it to Get Out or The Shape of Water but in the end we chose Call Me by Your Name. It’s a beautiful love story in northern Italy between two men that somehow manages to feel magical yet also personal at the same time. It is going to be the most unpredictable award of the night and one that is sure to create a lot of derision, but hopefully amongst that conversation.

Fun fact: Steven Spielberg has had a film nominated for the best picture award 10 times.

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